Page 28 - Vol.37-No.1 issue

BRAZIL AGRICULTURE EXPORT

BRAZIL’S 2021 COFFEE ARABICA CROP MAY

HAVE 30% LOSSES

This year’s arabica productivity must cate below-average rainfall for most of
cause severe stress on the plant and neg- the coffee belt during the first quarter of
atively affect the 2021 crop in its bienni- 2021, which may further aggravate this
al cycle. Delayed blossoming, together already worrying picture.
with above-average temperatures and
irregular rainfall in the post-blossoming
period must substantially reinforce the
negative impact on next year’s arabi-
ca production. The problems are wide-
spread, but the picture seems more dras-
tic in the south of Minas Gerais, which
accounts for 40% of the national arabica
production, and signals a potential 35% million bags. Compared to the 19/20
decline. The preliminary idea is for a season, there was a 16% increase, ex-
30% decrease in the national arabica panding the scenario of a production
production, which would bring produc- record. Highlight on arabica, which rose
tion down to around 35.20 million bags. SAFRAS increases 21%. Conillon, despite the problems,
The expected increase in conillon pro- Brazil’s 20 crop to 69.50 still sustains a 7% gain. This production
duction must help to alleviate the impact record supports the strong external flow
of arabica losses. Even so, the potential million bags and the high volume of coffee still inside
for domestic production must remain at The final result of Brazil’s 20/21 arabi- of warehouses in important growing re-
57.10 million bags, which corresponds to ca crop brought positive surprises. Pro- gions.
a total decline of 18%. duction was above expectations, which
This is an insufficient volume to meet justifies the upward revision in Brazil’s
demand. Considering an internal con- arabica crop, now projected at 50.10
sumption of 24 million bags, an export- million bags, up 3.9% from the previ-
able surplus of only 33 million bags ous estimate, made at the beginning of
would remain. A clearer situation only the season. The arabica gains ended up
from February or March 2021, when offsetting the losses with conillon. The
we will be able to validate or not these Brazilian conillon output was revised to
preliminary impressions. However, it is 19.40 million bags, down 2.5% from the
good to remember that the first months April forecast.
of the year are the period of graining, In general terms, Brazil’s 20/21 coffee
therefore, more regular and intense rain crop grew by 2% from the previous fore-
is needed. Meteorological models indi- cast and is currently projected at 69.50

Circle 37 on enquiry card
BRAZIL’S COFFEE EXPORTS TO ARAB

COUNTRIES UP 13%

Sales to those countries were up In November alone, exports hit 4.3
12.9% year-to-date through November. million bags shipped, including green,
Overall, 39.8 million bags of coffee got instant, and roast and ground coffee, up
shipped from Brazil, the biggest amount 32.2% from November 2019. This was the
on record, according to the Brazilian Cof- biggest number ever for an October, and
fee Exporters Council (Cecafé). the second biggest monthly output so far
São Paulo – Year-to-date through No- this year, Cecafé said.
vember 2020, Arab countries stepped Revenue climbed 32.3% to USD 542
up their imports of Brazilian coffee more million during the month. “We were very
than any other continent or economic a year ago, with foreign exchange reve- pleased with the fact that the industry
bloc. Those countries imported 1.89 mil- nue climbing 6.7%, to USD 5 billion. Av- has weathered such a challenging year
lion 60-kg bags of coffee, up 12.9% year- erage price per bag increased by 1% to sustainably and protecting the health of
over-year. Foreign exchange revenue USD 126.45. all collaborators, and making sure that
came out to USD 192.7 million, marginal- Exports of Robusta coffee were up consumers around the world will have a
ly down 0.3%. The numbers were made 25.7%. Arab countries took in 79.3% of cup of coffee on their tables, with qual-
public this Wednesday (9) by the Brazil- all coffee shipped from Brazil. Robusta ity and safety,” a press release quoted
ian Coffee Exporters Council (Cecafé). coffee made up 11.4% of exports, with Cecafé chairman Nelson Carvalhaes as
Total exports from Brazil amounted to instant coffee accounting for 9.3% of for- saying.
39.8 million bags of coffee, up 5.7% from eign sales through November. Circle 38 on enquiry card

26 Vol. 37 No. 1