Page 44 - AA 2026

Sudan

Above‑average cereal production in 2024 due

to favourable weather conditions

The harvest of the 2024 coarse
grains crops (sorghum and millet)
was completed in late 2024, while
the small, irrigated wheat crop was
gathered in March 2025.
According to the Government-
led 2024 Crop and Food Supply
Assessment, national cereal
production in 2024 (sorghum, millet
and wheat) is estimated at about 6.7
million tonnes, over 60 percent above
the low output obtained in 2023 and
7 percent above the average of the (not endorsed by the Government),
previous five years, mainly due to about 24.6 million people, more than
favourable weather conditions. half of the population, are projected
to face IPC Phase 3 (Crisis) or worse
The June-September rainy season
was characterized by above-average respectively, between September levels of acute food insecurity
rainfall amounts and by an even 2024, when they were at record between December 2024 and May
spatial and temporal distribution of levels, and February 2025, as newly 2025. This figure includes about
precipitation, which induced farmers harvested 2024 crops increased 8.1 million people in IPC Phase 4
to expand plantings and boosted domestic availability. Between (Emergency) and 637 000 people
yields. The favourable weather February and April 2025, the average facing IPC Phase 5 (Catastrophe)
conditions offset the negative impact price of sorghum levelled off, while levels of acute food insecurity.
of the conflict on agricultural activities, the average price of millet rose by 4 Famine conditions (IPC Phase 5) have
including the low availability and percent. As of April 2025, prices of been detected in ten areas in North
high prices of agricultural inputs due sorghum and millet were more than Darfur, West Kordofan and South
to supply chain disruptions. four times their pre-conflict levels Kordofan states. In addition, there is
in March 2023, underpinned by the a risk of famine in 17 additional areas
Import requirements for the 2025
marketing year (January/December) impact of the ongoing conflict, which in North Darfur, East Darfur, South
are forecast at about 2.7 million tonnes, resulted in trade disruptions and Darfur, South Kordofan, Al Jazirah and
mainly wheat (about 90 percent of the high input prices inflating production Khartoum states.
costs.
total) plus small quantities of millet, The main driver of the dire food
maize and rice. However, the limited The high level of cereal prices is security situation is the ongoing
financial and logistical capacity of the severely constraining food access, in conflict. Since its start in April
country raises concerns about the the context of reduced households’ 2023, the conflict has severely
possibility of satisfying these import purchasing power, undermined by disrupted livelihoods, destroyed
needs. a sharp reduction of employment key economic infrastructures,
Cereal prices at exceptionally opportunities. constrained humanitarian access
high levels Dire food security situation, with and triggered large-scale population
The national average retail price of famine conditions detected in ten displacements, with 8.6 million
domestically produced sorghum and areas internally displaced people (IDP)
millet declined by 38 and 23 percent, According to the latest IPC analysis estimated as of mid-May.
42 Arab Agriculture 2026