Page 47 - AA 2025 Year Book Summary
P. 47

Tunisia




          receipts. Pulses and oilseeds remain   and limited irrigation networks, ham-  harvest at 1.2 million metric tons on
          import-dependent, creating prospects   pering scaling efforts despite policy   0.5 million hectares, with yields at 2.29
          for agronomic upgrades and input   incentives. Oasis systems in Kebili le-  metric tons per hectare after a season
          service businesses within the Agricul-  verage  geothermal  water  for  16,000   of favorable rainfall.
          ture industry in Tunisia.          hectares  of  date  palms,  showcasing   • June 2025: A cabinet meeting
                                             adaptive  resource  use.  Southern  ar-
                  Geography Analysis                                             chaired by Prime Minister Sara Zaaf-
           Agriculture in the Tunisia market ac-  eas  contend  with  high  soil  salinity,   rani Zenzri approved accelerated
          tivity illustrates a pronounced north-  though research on halophytes prom-  fertilizer  stock-building,  streamlined
                                             ises niche expansion. National port
          south divide. Northern governorates                                    credit procedures and dedicated en-
          attracted 7,680 MTND in foreign direct   upgrades forecast GDP gains of 4-5%,   ergy-supply guarantees for storage
          investment  against  only  1,403  MTND   promising lower logistics costs for ag-  facilities ahead of the 2025-2026 crop-
          in  six  central-southern  governorates,   ricultural exporters.       ping year.
          mirroring infrastructure disparities.   Regional specialization will inten-
          Irrigated area in the Medjerda basin   sify as climate pressure nudges grow-  • May 2025: The World Bank’s Tuni-
          expanded fivefold from 1987 to 2001,   ers toward drought-resistant varieties   sia  Economic  Update  projected GDP
          now consuming 84% of available wa-  and water-saving irrigation. Balanced   growth  of  1.9  %  in  2025,  citing  im-
          ter. Coastal regions dominate green-  development programs aim to steer   proved rainfall and agricultural resil-
          house horticulture and olive oil pro-  finance toward interior governorates,   ience,  and  reiterated  that  upgrading
          cessing thanks to export-linked ports.   unlocking opportunities across the   port connectivity could lift GDP by 4-5
          Durum wheat productivity peaks in   Agriculture in Tunisia market.     % through stronger agri-food exports.
          Jendouba yet trails in Kairouan, reveal-  Recent Industry Developments   • May 2024: Tunisia signed seven
          ing efficiency gaps the Agriculture in   • June 2025: The United States De-  bilateral memoranda with China on
          Tunisia market must address.       partment of Agriculture’s Crop Explor-  agriculture, green energy, and health,
           Central Tunisia faces volatile rainfall   er estimated Tunisia’s 2025/26 wheat   signaling deeper Eastern cooperation.

         Rainfall amounts in January improved


         conditions of 2025 cereal crops


           The 2025  winter cereal  cropping   average. Despite some delay in win-
         season started with dry weather con-  ter grain planting due to limited rain-
         ditions during the planting period in   fall  amounts  and  high  temperatures,
         October and November 2024. How-     crop growth improved in northern
         ever,  abundant  rainfall  amounts  in   and central regions, reflecting favour-
         January  2025  improved  soil  moisture   able weather conditions between De-
         in the northern region. Favourable   cember 2023 and April 2024.
         weather  conditions,  coupled  with  fi-  Cereal import requirements fore-
         nancial support provided by the Na-  cast at below-average level in 2025
         tional Bank with the aim to expand    Cereal import requirements in the
         the planted area, are likely to benefit   2024/25  marketing  year  (July/June)
         output prospects in 2025. If favourable   are forecast at below-average 3.5 mil-
         weather conditions persist through   lion  tonnes.  Wheat  imports,  which
         March  and  May  2025,  yields  are  ex-  constitute more than half of aggregate
         pected at above-average levels.     cereal imports, are forecast at about 2
           Cereal crop production recovered   million tonnes, about 2 percent above   month the previous year, down from
         in 2024 compared to previous year   the average, driven by the abundant   a peak of around 16 percent in May
         drought-affected output             wheat production harvested in 2024.  2023. The year-on-year rise was driv-
           Cereal production in 2024 is estimat-  Food inflation eased in 2024 and   en  by  the  sharp  increases  in  bovine
         ed at about 1.5 million tonnes, nearly   early 2025                     meat, fish and poultry prices, up 21.4,
         three times higher than the drought-  Food inflation eased throughout   13.4  and  10.5  percent,  respectively,
         affected  2023  output,  yet  remaining   2024,  reaching  about  7  percent  in   while oil prices fell by about 16.2 per-
         about  6  percent  below  the  five-year   February 2025 compared to the same   cent.
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